End of the World – Maybe

End of the World – Maybe

Vol 3, Issue 4. Quarter 2 - 2026 This is an old one from a book of short stories on Zen Buddhism, but it bears hearing again. A farmer works a piece of land with a single horse. One day the horse runs away. His neighbors come around to commiserate the incident and cry...

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The  Dividend Chaser

The Dividend Chaser

Vol 3, Issue 3. Quarter 2 - 2026. We interrupt this program to bring you an important message that will really tick a lot of people off. Many investors, and especially retirees love to talk about how they live off of dividends, and how this is the clear answer to the...

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Poor Retired People – NOT!!!

Poor Retired People – NOT!!!

Vol 3, Issue 12. Quarter 2 - 2026. Imagine it’s 1950. You’re 65, your back is ruined from thirty years in a coal mine or a textile mill, and your "retirement plan" consists of a small Social Security check and the hope that your children have a spare bedroom. In 1950,...

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Why AI Doesn’t Change the Plan

Why AI Doesn’t Change the Plan

Vol 3, Issue 11. Quarter 2 - 2026. Turn on the financial media, and every CEO is bragging about their "AI integration" and "agentic workflows," whatever the hell that means. They are spending hundreds of billions of dollars to implement AI-based tools. But here is the...

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They’re Coming for Your Retirement Account!!!!!

They’re Coming for Your Retirement Account!!!!!

Vol 3, Issue 8. Quarter 1 - 2026. I recently ran across a bit of the usual alarmist financial “News” that caught my eye. This particular piece was screaming that “the government is going to eliminate 401K accounts.” Aside from the fact that this is political suicide...

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The Market is Forward Looking

Vol 3, Issue 7. Quarter 1 - 2026. As a Professor of Operations Management I am often reminded of the huge contributions of Andrey Markov. (Who the hell is that?) Markov was a Russian mathematician who dedicated most of his professional life to the study of stochastic...

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Quack Quack!

Quack Quack!

Vol 3, Issue 5. Quarter 1 - 2026. One of the most famous debaters at ESPN had a silly phrase that he likes to use. “If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it ain’t a damn mongoose!” There is a fairly new product in the “investment” world...

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An Un-Modern Monetary Theory

An Un-Modern Monetary Theory

Vol 3, Issue 3. Quarter 1 - 2026. There is a collection of ideas floating around known as Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), or Modern Money Theory. The major conclusion of this so-called “New” theory is that a country that issues debt in its own currency, while...

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Take this Into Consideration

Take this Into Consideration

Vol 3, Issue 1. Quarter 1 - 2026. Many fans argue that The Godfather was the best movie ever made. I am not one who shares that view. However, there was a common role in the old gangster movies that always fascinated me. The "Consigliere" was the fellow who served as...

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Forecasts are Meaningful and other Mythical Notions

Vol 2, Issue 6. Quarter 4 - 2025. One underappreciated book on investor behavior is “The 5 Mistakes Every Investor Makes and How to Avoid Them” by Peter Mallouk. (See Mallouk, 2014.)  But to be more specific, I often come back to one of his favorite lists – 9...

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I want to be a day-trader: Shot-Caller —  Baller

I want to be a day-trader: Shot-Caller — Baller

Vol 2, Issue 9. Quarter 4 - 2025. Before I begin to dig into too much data let’s set up a base case. You can take any and all  money that you do not need to live off of today and invest it into a Global Stock Index Fund such as VTI. This is an extremely low cost index...

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More Amateurs Trading Options – Even Move Bad Ideas

More Amateurs Trading Options – Even Move Bad Ideas

Vol 2, Issue 10. Quarter 4 - 2025. “What I want to talk about is Retail Options Trading; also known in some circles as degenerate gambling.”  Ben Felix If you don't know who Ben Felix is, I highly recommend his Rational Reminder podcast (Rational Reminder) I am not...

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RISK and the Sharpe Dresser

RISK and the Sharpe Dresser

Vol 2, Issue 8. Quarter 4 - 2025. When I was a child back in the 1970’s I would often overhear my mother speaking on the phone and sometimes I would hear the word “SHARP”, as in “girl, that was a sharp outfit”, or “he sure is a sharp dresser.” The work Sharp meant...

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The Four-Letter Word is RISK!!!

The Four-Letter Word is RISK!!!

Vol 2, Issue 8. Quarter 4 - 2025. It seems fair to say that the biggest single topic in the financial media related to investment management for the small investor is RISK. The Risk of outliving your money (which almost never happens); the Risk of stocks and the...

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The Origin of Risk Aversion

The Origin of Risk Aversion

Vol 2, Issue 6. Quarter 4 - 2025. NERD ALERT - NERD ALERT. I AM ABOUT TO GEEK OUT COMPLETELY. Risk Aversion (as opposed to Loss Aversion) is the extent of the preference for certainty in quantifiable, positive outcomes. When presented with a choice between a...

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Forecasts and the Wandering Dog

Forecasts and the Wandering Dog

Vol 2, Issue 4. Quarter 4 - 2025. One of my go-to recommendations for young workers beginning to think about investing is a great little book entitled, “Millionaire Teacher” by Andrew Hallam. (See Hallam, 2017.) I have given away 4 or 5 copies (No, I am not going to...

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