Why AI is NOT a Great Investment Advisor

Why AI is NOT a Great Investment Advisor

Vol 3, Issue 15. Quarter 3 - 2026.  There was a famous episode of the Cosby show where the youngest child, Rudy, asks her father a simple riddle.  “Mr. Smith and his son Arthur were driving a car. The car crashes. Mr. Smith is killed instantly, and his son, Arther is...

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If the Earth is Round, Why is Your Plan so Complex?

If the Earth is Round, Why is Your Plan so Complex?

Vol 3, Issue 14. Quarter 3 - 2026. Let’s restate the idea from the title in a different way. If you truly understand something you don’t need complex tools to explain it. The contrapositive of that statement is that if you do need complex tools to explain it, then you...

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The Magic of Averages

The Magic of Averages

Vol 3, Issue 13. Quarter 3 - 2026.  Apparently, it is absolutely necessary for me to define one of the simplest ideas that I can even think of – the humble average.  I say this because I so often hear people speak as though they have no idea what an average is. Let’s...

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How the Scam Started

How the Scam Started

Vol 3, Issue 12. Quarter 2 - 2026.  Consider the human side of the thief. Let’s look at the story of a short guy from Brooklyn. Just for fun let’s call him Ernie. Ernie is a young investment analyst looking to start his own asset management business, handling...

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A Bit of Humility of Good for You

A Bit of Humility of Good for You

Vol 3, Issue 10. Quarter 2 - 2026. Golda Meir was the first female Prime Minister of Israel in the late 1960’s. She is famous for many things including the quote, “Don’t be so humble, you’re not that great.” This is a common call out when someone is pretending to be...

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Why Variance Fools You

Why Variance Fools You

Vol 3, Issue 9. Quarter 2 - 2026. I was recently reminded about a short lesson for children that I saw on PBS many years ago. As best I can recall, Lavar Burton rode a bicycle with the aid of the wind for 20 miles at a speed of 20 miles per hour. After a short rest,...

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How the Scam Started

Don’t Ignore the First Uncertainty

In retirement planning we are routinely advised about how to deal with two major sources of uncertainty. How long we will live in retirement, and market returns over that period of time. All manner of simulations, fancy calculus, and varied means of projections are...

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The RMD is Wonderful (Yes, I am being serious!)

The RMD is Wonderful (Yes, I am being serious!)

Vol 3, Issue 7. Quarter 2 - 2026. Every so-called retirement expert will go on and on about how to use a Roth Conversion strategy to avoid the demons of Required Minimum Distributions (RMD’s), and IRMAA surcharges. The sales pitch is that by having to take these RMD’s...

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SPIVA Strikes Again

SPIVA Strikes Again

Vol 3, Issue 6. Quarter 2 - 2026 There is a pretty good chance that you never heard of SPIVA – which stands for “S&P Indices Versus Active.” In particular, you should look into the SPIVA scorecards which are updated twice per year at...

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My “Actual Spending” Rule

My “Actual Spending” Rule

Vol 3, Issue 5. Quarter 2 - 2026. Go to your favorite search engine and type in “Retirement Spending Rules”. After you scroll past all of the vendors explicitly trying to sell you some service, you will see entries about “The 4% Rule”, the “3.5% Rule”, “Guyton-Klinger...

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End of the World – Maybe

End of the World – Maybe

Vol 3, Issue 4. Quarter 2 - 2026 This is an old one from a book of short stories on Zen Buddhism, but it bears hearing again. A farmer works a piece of land with a single horse. One day the horse runs away. His neighbors come around to commiserate the incident and cry...

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The  Dividend Chaser

The Dividend Chaser

Vol 3, Issue 3. Quarter 2 - 2026. We interrupt this program to bring you an important message that will really tick a lot of people off. Many investors, and especially retirees love to talk about how they live off of dividends, and how this is the clear answer to the...

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Poor Retired People – NOT!!!

Poor Retired People – NOT!!!

Vol 3, Issue 12. Quarter 2 - 2026. Imagine it’s 1950. You’re 65, your back is ruined from thirty years in a coal mine or a textile mill, and your "retirement plan" consists of a small Social Security check and the hope that your children have a spare bedroom. In 1950,...

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Why AI Doesn’t Change the Plan

Why AI Doesn’t Change the Plan

Vol 3, Issue 11. Quarter 2 - 2026. Turn on the financial media, and every CEO is bragging about their "AI integration" and "agentic workflows," whatever the hell that means. They are spending hundreds of billions of dollars to implement AI-based tools. But here is the...

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They’re Coming for Your Retirement Account!!!!!

They’re Coming for Your Retirement Account!!!!!

Vol 3, Issue 8. Quarter 1 - 2026. I recently ran across a bit of the usual alarmist financial “News” that caught my eye. This particular piece was screaming that “the government is going to eliminate 401K accounts.” Aside from the fact that this is political suicide...

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The Market is Forward Looking

Vol 3, Issue 7. Quarter 1 - 2026. As a Professor of Operations Management I am often reminded of the huge contributions of Andrey Markov. (Who the hell is that?) Markov was a Russian mathematician who dedicated most of his professional life to the study of stochastic...

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